Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.000197 0.000220 0.000246 0.000274 0.000307 0.000342 0.000382
2024-12-29 0.000163 0.000194 0.000230 0.000274 0.000326 0.000387 0.000462
2025-01-05 0.000136 0.000171 0.000214 0.000269 0.000339 0.000424 0.000536
2025-01-12 0.000117 0.000155 0.000203 0.000268 0.000354 0.000465 0.000618
2025-01-19 0.000103 0.000143 0.000195 0.000269 0.000372 0.000510 0.000709
2025-01-26 0.000090 0.000130 0.000185 0.000265 0.000382 0.000544 0.000788
2025-02-02 0.000085 0.000127 0.000186 0.000278 0.000415 0.000613 0.000922
2025-02-09 0.000078 0.000120 0.000183 0.000283 0.000437 0.000667 0.001039
2025-02-16 0.000072 0.000114 0.000179 0.000286 0.000456 0.000718 0.001155
2025-02-23 0.000065 0.000108 0.000174 0.000286 0.000469 0.000761 0.001264
2025-03-02 0.000059 0.000100 0.000166 0.000280 0.000473 0.000789 0.001348
2025-03-09 0.000054 0.000094 0.000161 0.000279 0.000484 0.000829 0.001456
2025-03-16 0.000050 0.000090 0.000157 0.000279 0.000499 0.000880 0.001592
2025-03-23 0.000046 0.000085 0.000153 0.000280 0.000514 0.000931 0.001735
2025-03-30 0.000042 0.000079 0.000147 0.000276 0.000521 0.000969 0.001857
2025-04-06 0.000039 0.000075 0.000142 0.000275 0.000533 0.001018 0.002003
2025-04-13 0.000036 0.000072 0.000140 0.000277 0.000550 0.001076 0.002175
2025-04-20 0.000033 0.000068 0.000134 0.000273 0.000556 0.001114 0.002308
2025-04-27 0.000032 0.000068 0.000137 0.000286 0.000597 0.001224 0.002601
2025-05-04 0.000031 0.000066 0.000136 0.000291 0.000621 0.001303 0.002836
2025-05-11 0.000029 0.000064 0.000135 0.000294 0.000642 0.001377 0.003068
2025-05-18 0.000027 0.000061 0.000132 0.000294 0.000656 0.001437 0.003275
2025-05-25 0.000025 0.000057 0.000127 0.000288 0.000656 0.001469 0.003420